10 Aug 2022

Big Break can make amends

FARHH staked his claim to the champion miler crown at Newbury on Saturday with a devastating victory in the Lockinge Stakes.

FARHH staked his claim to the champion miler crown at Newbury on Saturday with a devastating victory in the Lockinge Stakes.

I had thought about recommending a bet on him at Royal Ascot after this rout but the winner’s connections and punters are now in something of a conundrum.

Before the race trainer Saeed bin Suroor had indicated that he would in future need further than the mile leaving me thinking that his Royal meeting target would be the Prince of Wales’s Stakes over 10 furlongs.

But then the son of Pivotal put in this awesome display which had Godolphin wondering if their charge should instead stay at a mile in the Queen Anne Stakes.

We made him a 7-2 shot (from 13-2) for the Queen Anne, but I think he’d be shorter if there wasn’t also the possibility of the Prince of Wales’s for which he was introduced also at 7-2. I’d hold off on a bet until we know his definite target.

The other performance at the weekend that I really liked was by an Aidan O’Brien two-year-old called Stubbs, who easily won a maiden at Navan on Sunday.

Just before the race a pundit was talking about another rival and saying the contest probably wouldn’t take a lot of winning. I thought that this comment was a load of rubbish as I think Coolmore reserve names for some of their better horses and Stubbs would probably go to a decent animal.

For once I was right and I think this fellow will definitely now also be Royal Ascot bound and he’ll take a bit of beating judging by the speed he exhibited.

It’s Irish Guineas weekend at The Curragh and I’m going to give Richard Hannon’s Olympic Glory another chance in Saturday’s Irish 2,000 Guineas.

Until the French equivalent earlier in the month, this fellow had only been beaten once and that was by English 2,000 Guineas hero Dawn Approach who now heads for the English Derby.

Hannon has stated that you can forget his French excursion as he “was drawn in the cheap seats” and jockey Richard Hughes didn’t give him a hard time when he realised that his chance was gone. The Curragh should suit and he can return to winning ways.

Dermot Weld was forced to give up any hope of an English 1,000 Guineas success with Big Break after she was a little slow to come to hand this year, but she can make amends in Sunday’s Irish equivalent.

Her defeat at Galway on her debut shows that the Curragh trainer is willing to take his best horses to the July extravaganza but she has been highly impressive in her two subsequent wins including the Group 3 Killavullan Stakes at Leopardstown in October.

The master is not one to big up his horses unless he feels they are very good indeed and he was talking about the English Guineas even after her previous success in a fillies’ maiden at the same venue.

Also on Sunday is the iconic Monaco Grand Prix which is my favourite race of the series through the bends of the narrow streets which always reminds me of the film ‘The Italian Job’!

This year I’m opting for Sebastian Vettel at a tasty 11-4 which is very tempting, especially as he won this race in 2011 after finishing runner-up to Mark Webber the previous season.

As always qualifying is going to be desperately important but possibly even more than usual as it seems nigh on impossible to overtake opponents on this circuit so a front-running position is imperative.

This season has already created excitement with only four points separating Vettel and Kimi Raikkonen in the driver standings after five stages.


Saturday, The Curragh, 3.20 - Olympic Glory; Sunday, Monaco, 1pm - Sebastian Vettel to win; Sunday, The Curragh, 3.55pm - Big Break

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