LOUTH WEATHER: 'PMet Eireann update on Hurricane Lorenzo and projected impact on Irelandowerful' Hurricane Lorenzo 'heading towards Ireland'
Met Eireann has given an update on the path and projected strength of Hurricane Lorenzo as it approaches Ireland this week
The national forecaster states that on Thursday Hurricane Lorenzo, which is predicted to be an ex-tropical storm at that stage, is likely to be in the vicinity. Met Eireann adds, "it's exact track and central pressure is still very uncertain as is the timing. It is most likely to track northwards and stay to west of Ireland. Some wet and windy weather is expected along with some high seas and swells. It will become mild over the country due to the influence of the tropical origin air."
Met Eireann says that the risk of severe weather continues through Thursday, Thursday night and possibly early Friday morning adding that the progress of Lorenzo and any potential impacts for Ireland are being 'closely monitored'.
In a commentary on its website, www.met.ie, Met Eireann describes Lorenzo a large and powerful hurricane, and its hurricane and tropical-storm-force wind fields are expected to expand further during the next few days. It is positioned at 28.7N 43.1W at 0900Z/30-09-2019 with winds estimated to be 90kts. Hurricane and Tropical Storm Watches are in effect for the Azores, and Hurricane and Tropical Storm Warnings could be required later today for those islands.
Its most likely path after this transition brings it to the northwest of Ireland but then there are model solutions that the track may move eastwards to the north of Ireland and towards Scotland Friday morning with a possibility of storm force winds over Ireland.
Lorenzo is moving north-north-eastward at 11 knots and the models generally agree that Lorenzo should pick up forward speed and move north-eastwards during the next day or two as a low pressure trough amplifies over the central Atlantic. This flow should take the core of Lorenzo near or to the west of the western Azores late Tuesday and early Wednesday.